Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.045554 4.509412 5.014773 5.607874 6.286943 7.042558 7.950303
2025-05-25 3.293165 3.890530 4.588531 5.470280 6.562762 7.882749 9.614795
2025-06-01 2.850617 3.511361 4.323661 5.407359 6.832842 8.668792 11.253258
2025-06-08 2.545210 3.240620 4.130934 5.372509 7.088355 9.420240 12.907139
2025-06-15 2.393127 3.138491 4.128272 5.565547 7.644895 10.617487 15.327844
2025-06-22 2.198291 2.953545 3.987048 5.539211 7.873164 11.357399 17.164521
2025-06-29 2.025456 2.779430 3.838763 5.477974 8.029706 11.991973 18.911072
2025-07-06 1.814188 2.531242 3.559927 5.190089 7.799493 11.983203 19.575576
2025-07-13 1.714656 2.436159 3.495145 5.218076 8.063057 12.792080 21.759400
2025-07-20 1.645407 2.379412 3.481080 5.320568 8.453466 13.853686 24.563373
2025-07-27 1.586801 2.333408 3.478082 5.437597 8.876523 15.019024 27.756093
2025-08-03 1.527878 2.281875 3.460969 5.527092 9.257403 16.150889 31.076214
2025-08-10 1.461624 2.215949 3.418455 5.574335 9.577256 17.229922 34.539301
2025-08-17 1.360466 2.087094 3.263156 5.410285 9.487371 17.498622 36.279126
2025-08-24 1.286706 1.998106 3.167719 5.343786 9.573971 18.130350 38.970287
2025-08-31 1.224922 1.924906 3.093566 5.308714 9.716397 18.894220 42.130867
2025-09-07 1.205141 1.921017 3.138515 5.498879 10.331092 20.759384 48.472670
2025-09-14 1.152778 1.857728 3.073804 5.472901 10.494574 21.641219 52.431091
2025-09-21 1.099314 1.789306 2.995150 5.412536 10.577445 22.347281 56.067341
2025-09-28 1.017806 1.667138 2.811335 5.128741 10.145670 21.773911 55.890523
2025-10-05 0.985241 1.630472 2.782863 5.156333 10.407269 22.925077 61.144523
2025-10-12 0.964422 1.613667 2.790115 5.257372 10.845913 24.585706 68.434381
2025-10-19 0.946412 1.600854 2.803846 5.372735 11.330880 26.444764 76.925522